Statement by President Donald J. Trump, Friday, July 6, 2018

My fellow Americans:

Our nation remains in a state of shock over Wednesday’s horrifying, horrifying attacks. We again offer our deepest sympathies to the families of the victims at this time of unimaginable grief.

But as our shock and horror turns into anger and determination, we know that we owe these families more than our [...]

More election musings

A little closer to the bottom of the barrel…

Trump has shattered not one but both major parties. Looking forward to the internecine fighting. Mike Pence is going to be the most powerful VP since… Dick Cheney, I guess. Trump has essentially zero knowledge about the mechanics of government and legislation. Pence has been both [...]

Election musings…

…in no particular order.

I wonder how much Hillary will be paid for her next speech. Can we please stop with the SHE WON THE POPULAR VOTE thing? If we had a popular vote system, (a) the candidates would campaign differently and (b) Republicans in states like CA and NY would actually have a reason [...]

Betting site links: Election 2016

The betting sites react very quickly to new information, so they provide an excellent way to monitor events in real time.

Granted, in 2012 my favorite market (InTrade – RIP) was clearly manipulated. Had anyone been set up to perform the arbitrage, they could have pocketed a few million risk-free dollars on election day. [...]

Trump, of course

Frankly, I do not understand why anyone other than cat ladies and doughy beta males would vote for anyone else.

OK OK I exaggerate. And anyway I would likely support anyone running against Hillary.

But I really am voting for The Donald with enthusiasm, and I want to take a moment to explain [...]

A little FBI narrative

Quick little speculation before it all becomes history…

Comey’s letter was an extraordinary event. He is a smart guy, so he must have had an extraordinary reason. Sure, maybe he is just trying to sway the election. But (a) that would be counter to every aspect of his reputation and track record; and (b) he [...]

Farewell to The Economist

An Email I sent this weekend:

To: customerhelp@economist.com Subject: Please cancel my subscription

My Customer Reference Number is … My address is: …

I have been a subscriber for more than two decades, but your latest cover story (“Globalisation and Politics: The new political divide”) is pure propaganda that I have no interest in financing.

[...]

Hillary (4) – Totally Exonerated

I decided it would be fun to go through portions of FBI Director Comey’s statement and paraphrase.

Note that he did not have to provide so much… detail. In fact, he did not have to say anything at all. During his delivery, he seemed to add special emphasis each of the numerous times he directly [...]

Hillary (3) – Child rape cases are a hoot

You might want to start with the background article.

Summary: Hillary successfully defended a child rapist — oops, I mean “accused” child rapist — back in 1975. But that is not the interesting part. The interesting part is this interview:

Note that this is raw source material. No pundits; no shills; no conspiracies… Just [...]

Prediction markets and Brexit

My day job leaves little time for blogging, but I want to get this down before the whole topic is history.

The Brexit referendum begins in just a few hours. The Leave side was showing momentum prior to the murder of Jo Cox, but since then, pretty much all polls have been stuck at “too [...]